Giants at Eagles

Eagles host Giants with NFC East lead on the line

The Giants visit the Eagles on Sunday, November 8 at Lincoln Financial Field, with New York leading the NFC East at 4-2-1 and Philadelphia last at 2-6. The Giants are 1-1-1 on the road and won their last game at Houston, while the Eagles have dropped six straight and are 1-3 at home. Philadelphia has scored 17.1 points per game and allowed 25.3, while New York averages 23.3 scored and 23.0 allowed. The Giants face the Commanders next, so a win would solidify their division lead; the Eagles need a win to end the skid and climb out of last place.

Keys to the game

• The Giants enter on a 4-2-1 mark and first in the NFC East, while the Eagles are mired in a six-game losing streak and sit last. A Philadelphia loss would stretch that streak to seven.
• The Eagles average 17.1 points per game and have scored 21 or fewer in each of their five straight losses. The Giants, meanwhile, have put up at least 27 in four of their last five games.
• Philadelphia will be without wide receivers DeVonta Smith, Britain Covey and Dontayvion Wicks, as well as cornerback Jonathan Jones. New York is missing linebacker Tremaine Edmunds and defensive backs Greg Newsome II and Jevon Holland, with several more questionable.
• The home team has won 16 of the 21 meetings since 2016, and the last one was a 38-20 Eagles win. That history gives Philadelphia reason for hope despite its struggles.
• Mostly sunny skies, 58 degrees and a 5% chance of rain should make for clean conditions, with 10 mph wind as the only minor factor.

Our take

Our model gives the Eagles a 51% win chance, but the current form says otherwise. The Giants are 4-2-1 with a better scoring differential, while the Eagles are 2-6 and have lost six straight while allowing 25.3 per game. Philadelphia's home dominance in this series and the Giants' injury-riddled secondary keep this close, but the Eagles' missing receivers are too much to overcome. The Giants should leave with the win.